Ergebnisse der Wahlfieber-Umfragen auf X - XPoll21 --- 2026

posts 11 - 14 by 14

  • Parlamentswahl Bulgarien am 19.04.2026

    gruener (Luddit), 19.04.2026 19:32, Reply to #8
    #11

    The results of our X poll on the outcome of the #Election in #България:

    • PB 33.3%
    • GERB-SDS 19.4%
    • PP-DB 12.4%
    • DPS 9.3%
    • VAZ 6.5%
    • BSP 4.1%
    • Siy 3.4%
    • MECh 3.1%
    • Vel 2.3%
    • APS 1.8%
    • ITN 1.3%
    • Others 3.0%

    Further information about our survey on X:

    • Pure raw data – no weighting (but normalized to 100)
    • Open to all X users
    • Date: April 17-19, 2026
    • Participants: 102

    https://x.com/Wahlfieber/status/2045886191438791151

    Link prediction
    There is 1 a reply to this post.

  • Parlamentswahl Malta am 30.05.2026

    gruener (Luddit), 30.05.2026 23:28, Reply to #11
    #12

    The results of our X poll on the outcome of the Election in Malta:

    PL52,61
    PN43,67
    Andere3,71
    Link prediction
    There is 1 a reply to this post.

  • Präsidentschaftswahl Peru (Stichwahl) am 07.06.2026

    gruener (Luddit), 14.06.2026 04:19, Reply to #12
    #13

    Unsere Prognose:

    • Keiko Fujimori - 51,15
    • Roberto Sanchez - 48,85

    https://x.com/xpoll21/status/2063738263471309004

    .................

    Erstmalig erfolgte die Umfrage auf X (XPoll21) in Zusammenarbeit mit einer zweiten Person, einem Prognostiker aus Chile.

    Hier dessen Post:

    https://x.com/DatosElectChile/status/2063725600754290783

    Link prediction

  • Eidgenössische Volksabstimmung am 14.06.2026

    gruener (Luddit), 14.06.2026 04:26, Reply to #4
    #14

    Ergebnis der Umfrage auf X zum Ausgang der 2 Abstimmungen

    Ja-Stimmen

    • Nachhaltigkeitsinitiative: 46,1%
    • Zivildienstgesetz: 48,6%

    ---------------------------------------
    Zusätzliche Informationen zu unserer Umfrage:

    • Reine Rohdaten, ohne Gewichtung
    • 25 Teiln.
    • Zeitraum 12. - 13.06.2026
    • Online-Umfrage auf X - offen für alle X-User
    • .
    • Auf X liegt akut ein Bug vor, so dass diverse Stimmen nicht gezählt wurden. Einige Stimmen konnten anhand der Angaben der betroffenen User händisch eingefügt werden, aber mit Sicherheit leider nicht alle.
    Link prediction
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What we predict...

Wahlfieber, originally a platform from the German-speaking world, offers (user-based) forecasts on elections worldwide - using political prediction markets without applying any algorythm.

Our focus

Germany / Austria / Switzerland
All national and state elections as well as selected local, mayoral and party elections

Europe
Almost all national elections as well as selected presidential, regional and local elections and votes.

USA
All presidential, senatorial and house elections (including mid-term and most presidential primaries/caucusses) as well as important special and state elections.

UK
All national and state elections as well as important special, local and mayoral elections and votes.

Worldwide
National elections - including Australia, Canada, Israel, Japan, New Zealand, etc.


Important elections in 2025

  • Several state elections in Germany, Austria, Switzerland and Liechtenstein
  • Presidential elections in Romania, Poland, Ireland, Portugal
  • National elections in Germany, Czech Republic, Netherlands, Norway - Argentina, Australia, Canada

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