Hier die Prognosen der Wahlbörsen. (+ später die Prognosen vom Wahltag)
Partei | Wahlfieber - 3 Tage | Wahlfieber - Schluss | PESM - Schluss | ARD-Prognose | ZDF-Prognose | Ergebnis | |
CDU | 40,08 | 40,09 | 39,75 | 39 | 39,5 | 39,41 | |
LINKE | 19,51 | 19,54 | 19,02 | 19 | 18,5 | 18,91 | |
SPD | 13,97 | 13,98 | 14,51 | 12,5 | 12,5 | 12,36 | |
FDP | 3,00 | 3,03 | 3,32 | 3,5 | 4,5 | 3,78 | |
GRÜNE | 5,74 | 5,63 | 6,01 | 6 | 5,2 | 5,73 | |
NPD | 4,65 | 4,72 | 4,43 | 5 | 5,0 | 4,95 | |
AfD | 7,33 | 7,29 | 7,50 | 10 | 9,5 | 9,74 | |
Piraten | 1,08 | 1,06 | -- | -- | -- | 1,11 | |
Sonstige | 4,66 | 4,68 | 5,46 | 5 | 5,3 | 4,01 | |
MAE | 0,78 | 0,77 | 0,81 | 0,20 | 0,30 | -- |
Anm.:
4,99%? Da werden die Wahlfälschungstheorien blühen.
Oder eben symbolische 808 Stimmen.
300 000€ Wahlkampfkosten versenkt, jährlich 1,4 Millionen Landtagsmittel weniger, 30 arbeitlose Neonazis mehr, die der Verfassungsschutz alimentieren muss. Die AfD macht sich (im Gegensatz zur FDP) gleich mal nützlich durch ihre bloße Präsenz.
Wahlfieber, originally a platform from the German-speaking world, offers (user-based) forecasts on elections worldwide - using political prediction markets without applying any algorythm.
Germany / Austria / Switzerland
All national and state elections as well as selected local, mayoral and party elections
Europe
Almost all national elections as well as selected presidential, regional and local elections and votes.
USA
All presidential, senatorial and house elections (including mid-term and most presidential primaries/caucusses) as well as important special and state elections.
UK
All national and state elections as well as important special, local and mayoral elections and votes.
Worldwide
National elections - including Australia, Canada, Israel, Japan, New Zealand, etc.
This is how you contribute to the prediction - See the Infocenter
Please send error messages and feedback by email to: help@wahlfieber.com