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  • » 2026 Senedd election Wales

How many votes (in %) will the parties win in the 2026 Senedd election in Wales?

Participants: 17
Market opening: 02.04.2026 22:00
Market close: 07.05.2026 03:20
Top trader: sharpnutzer

2026 Senedd election Wales

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Ranking list of markets by 04.05.2026 02:00

The ranking is calculated daily at 00:00, 12:00 and 18:00 UTC. Next calculation at: 04.05.2026 14:00

1 - 16 by 16
Rank Participant Cash Share value Total value Yield
1 sharpnutzer 48.972,11 (16) 51.909,60 (1) 100.881,71 (1) +0,88 %
2 Dr.Ottl - (4) - (2) - (2) +0,68 %
2 GrouchoMarx 50.000,00 (4) 50.680,00 (2) 100.680,00 (2) +0,68 %
2 Wahlfieber Team - (4) - (2) - (2) +0,68 %
2 Dominique Kupfer 50.000,00 (4) 50.680,00 (2) 100.680,00 (2) +0,68 %
2 Major Boothroyd 50.000,00 (4) 50.680,00 (2) 100.680,00 (2) +0,68 %
2 Retsina - (4) - (2) - (2) +0,68 %
2 maceo - (4) - (2) - (2) +0,68 %
2 joschie991 50.000,00 (4) 50.680,00 (2) 100.680,00 (2) +0,68 %
2 Josy - (4) - (2) - (2) +0,68 %
2 narab 50.000,00 (4) 50.680,00 (2) 100.680,00 (2) +0,68 %
2 Hauke Haien - (4) - (2) - (2) +0,68 %
2 Bergischer 50.000,00 (4) 50.680,00 (2) 100.680,00 (2) +0,68 %
14 Wahlhelfer-HH 50.026,53 (3) 50.645,51 (14) 100.672,04 (14) +0,67 %
15 gruener (Luddit) - (1) - (16) - (15) +0,64 %
16 milton 50.402,23 (2) 50.120,35 (15) 100.522,58 (16) +0,52 %

Top movers: 2026 Senedd election Wales

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What we predict...

Wahlfieber, originally a platform from the German-speaking world, offers (user-based) forecasts on elections worldwide - using political prediction markets without applying any algorythm.

Our focus

Germany / Austria / Switzerland
All national and state elections as well as selected local, mayoral and party elections

Europe
Almost all national elections as well as selected presidential, regional and local elections and votes.

USA
All presidential, senatorial and house elections (including mid-term and most presidential primaries/caucusses) as well as important special and state elections.

UK
All national and state elections as well as important special, local and mayoral elections and votes.

Worldwide
National elections - including Australia, Canada, Israel, Japan, New Zealand, etc.


Important elections in 2025

  • Several state elections in Germany, Austria, Switzerland and Liechtenstein
  • Presidential elections in Romania, Poland, Ireland, Portugal
  • National elections in Germany, Czech Republic, Netherlands, Norway - Argentina, Australia, Canada

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