Wanli on political stock market

Registered since:
04.06.2007
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Current posts from Wanli

Market ranking - current rank

Market Position Participants
US-Presidential election, 2024 (popular vote) 28 35
US-Presidential election, 2024 (538-market) 37 41
US-House elections, 2024 28 30
US-Senate elections, 2024 31 31
US Presidential election, 2024 (WTA market) 59 76
1 21
5 26
6 18
26 34
22 24
32 36
US Presidentail eleceton, 2020 6 59
3 16
5 19
1 15
2 11
2 20
1 16
New York Democratic Primary, 2020 1 12
Wisconsin Democratic Primary, 2020 2 13
Michigan Democratic Primary, 2020 1 22
Illinois Democratic Primary, 2020 2 20
Arizona Democratic Primary, 2020 17 17
Florida Democratic Primary, 2020 2 19
Georgia Democratic Primary, 2020 2 21
Washington Democratic Primary, 2020 4 21
North Carolina Democratic Primary, 2020 1 22
Super Tuesday Democratic Primaries, 2020 2 26
Texas Democratic Primary, 2020 2 23
California Democratic Primary, 2020 1 23
South Carolina Democratic Primary, 2020 2 26
Nevada Democratic Caucus, 2020 1 26
New Hampshire Democratic Primary, 2020 2 25
Iowa Democratic Caucus, 2020 1 31
Unterhauswahl Großbritannien 2019 (Expertenmarkt) 13 16
Unterhauswahl Großbritannien 2019 (Mandate) 29 32
Unterhauswahl Großbritannien 2019 3 49
Democratic Presidential Nominee, 2020 7 71
USA - Gouverneurswahlen 2018 12 14
US-House elections 2018 2 33
US-Senate elections 2018 28 30
US-Senate 2018 (WTA-Markt) 29 36
Alabama Senate special election, 2017 24 26
Virginia gubernatorial election, 2017 1 18
Montana's at-large congressional district special election, 2017 17 20
Georgias' 6th congressional district special election, 2017 3 24
President Trump Job Approval, 2018-01 40 48
Präsidentschaftswahl Frankreich 2017 57 60
US presidential election, 2016 (red swing states) 4 17
US presidential election, 2016 (swing states) 2 17
US Senate elections 2016 26 29
US presidential election, 2016 (538) 41 49
US presidential election, 2016 36 77
District of Columbia Democratic Primary 2016 3 14
South Dakota Democratic Primary 2016 1 13
North Dakota Democratic Caucus 2016 13 13
New Mexico Democratic Primary 2016 14 14
New Jersey Democratic Primary 2016 3 13
Montana Democratic Primary 2016 2 12
California Democratic Primary 2016 12 16
West Virginia Republican Primary 2016 2 10
West Virginia Democratic Primary 2016 3 11
Nebraska Republican Primary 2016 7 13
Indiana Republican Primary 2016 11 17
Indiana Democratic Primary 2016 7 14
Rhode Island Republican Primary 2016 4 13
Rhode Island Democratic Primary 2016 12 13
Pennsylvania Republican Primary 2016 13 14
Pennsylvania Democratic Primary 2016 7 13
Maryland Republican Primary 2016 6 13
Maryland Democratic Primary 2016 2 12
Delaware Republican Primary 2016 6 13
Delaware Democratic Primary 2016 2 12
Connecticut Republican Primary 2016 5 14
Connecticut Democratic Primary 2016 2 12
New York Republican Primary 2016 19 20
New York Democratic Primary 2016 8 22
Wyoming Democratic Caucus 2016 10 13
Alaska Democratic Caucus 2016 6 10
Wisconsin Democratic Primary 2016 5 15
Hawaii Democratic Caucus 2016 7 13
Wisconsin Republican Primary 2016 1 18
Utah Republican Caucus 2016 2 14
Washington Democratic Caucus 2016 2 13
Idaho Democratic Caucus 2016 1 14
Utah Democratic Caucus 2016 15 15
Arizona Democratic Primary 2016 12 13
Arizona Republican Primary 2016 18 18
North Carolina Republican Primary 2016 1 19
Illinois Republican Primary 2016 2 18
March 15th Democratic Primaries 2016 16 19
Michigan Republican Primary 2016 3 15
Florida Republican Primary 2016 16 21
Ohio Republican Primary 2016 18 19
Kentucky Republican Caucus 2016 1 16
Maine Republican Caucus 2016 2 14
Kansas Republican Caucus 2016 2 16
Maine Democratic Caucus 2016 10 11
Louisiana Democratic Primary 2016 1 13
Nebraska Democratic Caucus 2016 9 11
Kansas Democratic Caucus 2016 6 12
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2016 6 57
Super Tuesday Republican Primaries 2016 17 19
Super Tuesday Republican Caucuses 2016 2 20
Super Tuesday Democratic Primaries 2016 4 16
South Carolina Democratic Primary 2016 3 17
Nevada Democratic Caucus 2016 9 19
New Hampshire Democratic Primary 2016 7 19
Iowa Democratic Caucus 2016 3 23
Nevada Republican Caucus 2016 18 19
South Carolina Republican Primary 2016 17 19
New Hampshire Republican Primary 2016 4 20
Iowa Republican Caucus 2016 1 26
Democratic National Convention 2016 2 31
Republican National Convention 2016 24 28
GOP Presidential Nominee 2016 93 100
Unabhängigkeitsreferendum Schottland 2014 16 47
Fußball-WM 2014 35 59
United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota's 6th district, 2012 18 21
US-Senate elections 2012 (Swing States) 2 23
US Senate election in Virginia, 2012 21 24
US Senate election in Massachusetts, 2012 2 26
US Senate election in Maine, 2012 1 30
US Presidential election, 2012 (electoral votes - swing states) 33 37
US Presidential election, 2012 - 538 market 40 47
Exits from the Euro-zone 32 116
US gubernatorial elections, 2012 22 29
US Senate election, 2012 32 35
Repräsentantenhauswahl in USA 2012 12 31
US presidential election, 2012 27 80
Fussball Europa-Meister 2012 (WTIA-Markt) 10 54
Euro 2012 - Gruppe D 43 55
Euro 2012 - Gruppe C 16 52
Euro 2012 - Gruppe B 22 57
Euro 2012 - Gruppe A 4 51
Wisconsin gubernatorial recall election 2012? 7 22
New York Republican Primary 2012 16 25
Pennsylvania Republican Primary 2012 8 24
London mayoral election, 2012 7 27
Wisconsin Republican Primary 2012 5 24
Louisiana Republican Primary 2012 1 19
Illinois Republican Primary 2012 9 21
Missouri Republican Caucus 2012 4 19
Mississippi Republican Primary 2012 1 20
Kansas Republican Caucus 2012 2 25
Arizona Republican Primary 2012 2 23
Deutscher Meister 2012 38 50
Republican Super Tuesday 2012 3 33
Virginia Republican Primary 2012 17 26
Ohio Republican Primary 2012 2 24
Michigan Republican Primary 2012 2 27
Washington Republican Caucus 2012 7 22
Minnesota Republican Caucus 2012 1 28
Nevada Republican Caucus 2012 4 27
Florida Republican Primary 2012 4 34
South Carolina Republican Primary 2012 1 33
Fussball Europa-Meisterschaft 2012 7 117
Iowa Republican Caucus 2012 1 27
New Hampshire Republican Primary 2012 1 34
Presidential primary of the French Socialist Party 2011 8 32
Republican Presidential Nominee 2012 1 85
New York's 26th congressional district special election, 2011 2 19
Eurovision Song Contest 2011 21 31
National Assembly for Wales election, 2011 3 24
United Kingdom Alternative Vote referendum, 2011 1 29
Northern Ireland Parliament election, 2011 2 24
Scottish Parliament election, 2011 9 29
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremen 45 119
Nachfolger Guttenberg 1 20
Oscars 2011: Bester Film 12 21
Parlamentswahlen Irland 2011 2 30
Abtritt Westerwelle 2 83
Landtagswahl Rheinland-Pfalz 2011 40 121
Bürgerschaftswahl Hamburg 21 132
Landtagswahl Baden-Württemberg 2011 12 189
United States Senate election in Alaska, 2010 2 23
United States Senate election in Florida, 2010 4 24
United States Senate election in Nevada, 2010 18 18
neue Senatszusammensetzung 31 34
Kongresswahlen (vote share) 3 35
CDU-Vorsitzender 39 43
Bundespräsident 37 103
NRW - Koalition 43 127
NRW - Ministerpräsident 7 62
North Rhine-Westphalia 21 193
North Rhine-Westphalia (closed market) 12 39
USA - Republican primaries 2010 1 25

Market ranking - total

Market Position Participants
1 21
New York Democratic Primary, 2020 1 12
California Democratic Primary, 2020 1 23
Michigan Democratic Primary, 2020 1 22
1 15
1 16
North Carolina Democratic Primary, 2020 1 22
Nevada Democratic Caucus, 2020 1 26
Iowa Democratic Caucus, 2020 1 31
Virginia gubernatorial election, 2017 1 18
South Dakota Democratic Primary 2016 1 13
Wisconsin Republican Primary 2016 1 18
Idaho Democratic Caucus 2016 1 14
North Carolina Republican Primary 2016 1 19
Louisiana Democratic Primary 2016 1 13
Kentucky Republican Caucus 2016 1 16
Iowa Republican Caucus 2016 1 26
US Senate election in Maine, 2012 1 30
Republican Presidential Nominee 2012 1 85
Louisiana Republican Primary 2012 1 19
Mississippi Republican Primary 2012 1 20
Minnesota Republican Caucus 2012 1 28
South Carolina Republican Primary 2012 1 33
New Hampshire Republican Primary 2012 1 34
Iowa Republican Caucus 2012 1 27
United Kingdom Alternative Vote referendum, 2011 1 29
Nachfolger Guttenberg 1 20
Northern Ireland 1 40
USA - Republican primaries 2010 1 25
USA - Massachusetts 1 50
USA - NY 23 1 24
USA - President 1 221
Georgia Democratic Primary, 2020 2 21
2 20
Illinois Democratic Primary, 2020 2 20
Wisconsin Democratic Primary, 2020 2 13
Florida Democratic Primary, 2020 2 19
Texas Democratic Primary, 2020 2 23
Super Tuesday Democratic Primaries, 2020 2 26
South Carolina Democratic Primary, 2020 2 26
US-House elections 2018 2 33
New Hampshire Democratic Primary, 2020 2 25
US presidential election, 2016 (swing states) 2 17
Democratic National Convention 2016 2 31
Montana Democratic Primary 2016 2 12
West Virginia Republican Primary 2016 2 10
Connecticut Democratic Primary 2016 2 12
Maryland Democratic Primary 2016 2 12
Delaware Democratic Primary 2016 2 12
Utah Republican Caucus 2016 2 14
Washington Democratic Caucus 2016 2 13
Illinois Republican Primary 2016 2 18
Maine Republican Caucus 2016 2 14
Kansas Republican Caucus 2016 2 16
Super Tuesday Republican Caucuses 2016 2 20
US-Senate elections 2012 (Swing States) 2 23
US Senate election in Massachusetts, 2012 2 26
Kansas Republican Caucus 2012 2 25
Ohio Republican Primary 2012 2 24
Michigan Republican Primary 2012 2 27
Arizona Republican Primary 2012 2 23
Abtritt Westerwelle 2 83
New York's 26th congressional district special election, 2011 2 19
Northern Ireland Parliament election, 2011 2 24
Parlamentswahlen Irland 2011 2 30
United States Senate election in Alaska, 2010 2 23
Vancouver 2010 - Goldmedaillen 2 69
Republican Primaries 2 80
Democratic Primaries 2 132
Republican Candidate 2 166
3 16
Unterhauswahl Großbritannien 2019 3 49
Georgias' 6th congressional district special election, 2017 3 24
District of Columbia Democratic Primary 2016 3 14
New Jersey Democratic Primary 2016 3 13
West Virginia Democratic Primary 2016 3 11
Michigan Republican Primary 2016 3 15
South Carolina Democratic Primary 2016 3 17
Iowa Democratic Caucus 2016 3 23
Republican Super Tuesday 2012 3 33
National Assembly for Wales election, 2011 3 24
Kongresswahlen (vote share) 3 35
United Kingdom 3 52
United Kingdom 3 55
United Kingdom 3 79
Washington Democratic Primary, 2020 4 21
US presidential election, 2016 (red swing states) 4 17
Rhode Island Republican Primary 2016 4 13
Super Tuesday Democratic Primaries 2016 4 16
New Hampshire Republican Primary 2016 4 20
Euro 2012 - Gruppe A 4 51
Missouri Republican Caucus 2012 4 19
Nevada Republican Caucus 2012 4 27
Florida Republican Primary 2012 4 34
United States Senate election in Florida, 2010 4 24
5 26
5 19
Connecticut Republican Primary 2016 5 14
Wisconsin Democratic Primary 2016 5 15
Wisconsin Republican Primary 2012 5 24
Great Britain (closed market) 5 28
United Kingdom - PM 5 58
6 18
US Presidentail eleceton, 2020 6 59
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2016 6 57
Delaware Republican Primary 2016 6 13
Kansas Democratic Caucus 2016 6 12
USA - Senate 2008 6 97
Democratic Presidential Nominee, 2020 7 71
2 11
Nebraska Republican Primary 2016 7 13
Alaska Democratic Caucus 2016 6 10
New Hampshire Democratic Primary 2016 7 19
Fussball Europa-Meisterschaft 2012 7 117
Wisconsin gubernatorial recall election 2012? 7 22
London mayoral election, 2012 7 27
Washington Republican Caucus 2012 7 22
NRW - Ministerpräsident 7 62
Fussball Liga Pokal 7 24
New York Democratic Primary 2016 8 22
Hawaii Democratic Caucus 2016 7 13
Presidential primary of the French Socialist Party 2011 8 32
USA - NJ 8 24
Maryland Republican Primary 2016 6 13
Pennsylvania Democratic Primary 2016 7 13
Nebraska Democratic Caucus 2016 9 11
Nevada Democratic Caucus 2016 9 19
Illinois Republican Primary 2012 9 21
Scottish Parliament election, 2011 9 29
Democratic Candidate 9 310
Indiana Democratic Primary 2016 7 14
Wyoming Democratic Caucus 2016 10 13
Maine Democratic Caucus 2016 10 11
Fussball Europa-Meister 2012 (WTIA-Markt) 10 54
Indiana Republican Primary 2016 11 17
Pennsylvania Republican Primary 2012 8 24
USA - Gouverneurswahlen 2018 12 14
California Democratic Primary 2016 12 16
Rhode Island Democratic Primary 2016 12 13
Arizona Democratic Primary 2016 12 13
Repräsentantenhauswahl in USA 2012 12 31
Landtagswahl Baden-Württemberg 2011 12 189
North Rhine-Westphalia (closed market) 12 39
Unterhauswahl Großbritannien 2019 (Expertenmarkt) 13 16
North Dakota Democratic Caucus 2016 13 13
Pennsylvania Republican Primary 2016 13 14
Oscars 2011: Bester Film 12 21
New Mexico Democratic Primary 2016 14 14
Gruppe D 14 76
Utah Democratic Caucus 2016 15 15
March 15th Democratic Primaries 2016 16 19
Florida Republican Primary 2016 16 21
Unabhängigkeitsreferendum Schottland 2014 16 47
Euro 2012 - Gruppe C 16 52
New York Republican Primary 2012 16 25
Europameister 1 16 72
Arizona Democratic Primary, 2020 17 17
Montana's at-large congressional district special election, 2017 17 20
Super Tuesday Republican Primaries 2016 17 19
South Carolina Republican Primary 2016 17 19
Virginia Republican Primary 2012 17 26
USA Elections 2008 17 294
Arizona Republican Primary 2016 18 18
Ohio Republican Primary 2016 18 19
Nevada Republican Caucus 2016 18 19
United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota's 6th district, 2012 18 21
United States Senate election in Nevada, 2010 18 18
New York Republican Primary 2016 19 20
Vancouver 2010 - Eishockey 19 64
German soccer champion 2009 19 108
US Senate election in Virginia, 2012 21 24
Eurovision Song Contest 2011 21 31
Bürgerschaftswahl Hamburg 21 132
North Rhine-Westphalia 21 193
USA - VA 21 25
Bayern - Ministerpräsident 21 68
22 24
US gubernatorial elections, 2012 22 29
Euro 2012 - Gruppe B 22 57
Europameister 23 122
Alabama Senate special election, 2017 24 26
Republican National Convention 2016 24 28
USA - 538 24 71
Gruppe C 25 80
26 34
US Senate elections 2016 26 29
United Kingdom - Thirsk & Malton 26 29
US presidential election, 2012 27 80
USA - NYC 27 33
US-Presidential election, 2024 (popular vote) 28 35
US-House elections, 2024 28 30
US-Senate elections 2018 28 30
Fußball: Herbstmeister 28 96
Unterhauswahl Großbritannien 2019 (Mandate) 29 32
US-Senate 2018 (WTA-Markt) 29 36
US-Senate elections, 2024 31 31
neue Senatszusammensetzung 31 34
32 36
Exits from the Euro-zone 32 116
US Senate election, 2012 32 35
US Presidential election, 2012 (electoral votes - swing states) 33 37
Gruppe A 34 87
Fußball-WM 2014 35 59
US presidential election, 2016 36 77
US-Presidential election, 2024 (538-market) 37 41
Bundespräsident 37 103
Deutscher Meister 2012 38 50
CDU-Vorsitzender 39 43
President Trump Job Approval, 2018-01 40 48
US Presidential election, 2012 - 538 market 40 47
Landtagswahl Rheinland-Pfalz 2011 40 121
US presidential election, 2016 (538) 41 49
Fußball: 1. Bundesliga D 42 143
Euro 2012 - Gruppe D 43 55
NRW - Koalition 43 127
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremen 45 119
Bavaria 47 51
Die Linke 55 79
Präsidentschaftswahl Frankreich 2017 57 60
US Presidential election, 2024 (WTA market) 59 76
Fußball: Dt. Meister 66 80
1. Bundesliga 66 170
USA - Florida 70 77
USA -Ohio 74 75
Gruppe B 86 92
USA - House 87 89
SPD-Kanzlerkandidat 87 156
GOP Presidential Nominee 2016 93 100
Dtl. - Koalition 93 252
Fußball: 1. Bundesliga D 100 122
SPD-Vorsitzender 115 124
Lower Saxony 118 154
Germany 161 559
Federal President Germany 208 251
Hesse 264 319
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Fine music for political ears

What we predict...

Wahlfieber, originally a platform from the German-speaking world, offers (user-based) forecasts on elections worldwide - using political prediction markets without applying any algorythm.

Our focus

Germany / Austria / Switzerland
All national and state elections as well as selected local, mayoral and party elections

Europe
Almost all national elections as well as selected presidential, regional and local elections and votes.

USA
All presidential, senatorial and house elections (including mid-term and most presidential primaries/caucusses) as well as important special and state elections.

UK
All national and state elections as well as important special, local and mayoral elections and votes.

Worldwide
National elections - including Australia, Canada, Israel, Japan, New Zealand, etc.


Important elections in 2025

  • Several state elections in Germany, Austria, Switzerland and Liechtenstein
  • Presidential elections in Romania, Poland, Ireland, Portugal
  • National elections in Germany, Czech Republic, Netherlands, Norway - Argentina, Australia, Canada

How does this work?

This is how you contribute to the prediction - See the Infocenter

Found an error?
Your Feedback?

Please send error messages and feedback by email to: help@wahlfieber.com